BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
56%50%
Galorys · 5 mapsedge Galorys +6%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
38%50%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +12%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Nukeex-KRÜ pick
38%50%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +12%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Overpassex-KRÜ ban
38%50%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge ex-KRÜ +12%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Mirageex-KRÜ ban
71%50%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Galorys +21%ex-KRÜ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Dust2
2. Banex-KRÜ remove Mirage
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. Pickex-KRÜ take Nuke
5. Banex-KRÜ remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Galorys 35%ex-KRÜ 65%
The model gave 65% on ex-KRÜ — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Galorys 58%ex-KRÜ 42%
The model gave 58% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 64%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2