NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
illwillloss 0:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
illwill 47%ex-RUBY 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Dust2prediction missed3:13
illwill 53%ex-RUBY 47%
The model gave 53% on illwill — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 67%
Series resultex-RUBY 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2