kleverr Azeron Baltic Superfinals 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fraternityloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheJumprava ban
40%50%
Jumprava · 1 mapedge Fraternity +10%Fraternity · 0 maps
Dust2Fraternity ban
50%40%
Jumprava · 0 mapsedge Jumprava +10%Fraternity · 1 map
InfernoFraternity pick
50%40%
Jumprava · 0 mapsedge Jumprava +10%Fraternity · 1 map
MirageFraternity ban
40%50%
Jumprava · 1 mapedge Fraternity +10%Fraternity · 0 maps
NukeJumprava pick
60%50%
Jumprava · 1 mapedge Jumprava +10%Fraternity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJumprava remove Cache
2. BanFraternity remove Mirage
3. PickJumprava take Nuke
4. PickFraternity take Inferno
5. BanFraternity remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
Jumprava 57%Fraternity 43%
The model gave 57% on Jumprava — the map was taken by Fraternity.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Jumprava 63%Fraternity 37%
The model gave 63% on Jumprava — the map was taken by Jumprava.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Jumprava 60%Fraternity 40%
The model gave 60% on Jumprava — the map was taken by Jumprava.
Model check result
Model favoriteJumprava · 50%
Series resultJumprava 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3