kleverr Azeron Baltic Superfinals 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fraternityloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheFraternity ban
40%50%
Jumprava · 1 mapedge Fraternity +10%Fraternity · 0 maps
Dust2Jumprava pick
50%40%
Jumprava · 0 mapsedge Jumprava +10%Fraternity · 1 map
InfernoFraternity pick
50%40%
Jumprava · 0 mapsedge Jumprava +10%Fraternity · 1 map
MirageJumprava ban
40%50%
Jumprava · 1 mapedge Fraternity +10%Fraternity · 0 maps
NukeFraternity ban
60%50%
Jumprava · 1 mapedge Jumprava +10%Fraternity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJumprava remove Mirage
2. BanFraternity remove Nuke
3. PickJumprava take Dust2
4. PickFraternity take Inferno
5. BanFraternity remove Cache
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
Jumprava 57%Fraternity 43%
The model gave 57% on Jumprava — the map was taken by Fraternity.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Jumprava 63%Fraternity 37%
The model gave 63% on Jumprava — the map was taken by Jumprava.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Jumprava 60%Fraternity 40%
The model gave 60% on Jumprava — the map was taken by Jumprava.
Model check result
Model favoriteJumprava · 50%
Series resultJumprava 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3