ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Kaleido#148 in the worldseries probability
49%51%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLEGAM ban
56%50%
Kaleido · 5 mapsedge Kaleido +6%LEGAM · 0 maps
InfernoLEGAM ban
33%50%
Kaleido · 5 mapsedge LEGAM +17%LEGAM · 0 maps
CacheKaleido ban
33%40%
Kaleido · 2 mapsedge LEGAM +7%LEGAM · 1 map
Dust2Kaleido pick
50%50%
Kaleido · 2 mapsnearly even +0%LEGAM · 0 maps
NukeKaleido ban
50%50%
Kaleido · 2 mapsnearly even +0%LEGAM · 0 maps
AnubisLEGAM pick
50%40%
Kaleido · 0 mapsedge Kaleido +10%LEGAM · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
40%50%
Kaleido · 1 mapedge LEGAM +10%LEGAM · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKaleido remove Nuke
2. BanLEGAM remove Ancient
3. PickKaleido take Dust2
4. PickLEGAM take Anubis
5. BanLEGAM remove Inferno
6. BanKaleido remove Cache
DeciderMirage (40% / 50%)