IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#12 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GamerLegion#25 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoLegacy ban
50%60%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%GamerLegion · 1 map
NukeLegacy pick
50%60%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +10%GamerLegion · 1 map
OverpassGamerLegion ban
50%40%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%GamerLegion · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Inferno
2. BanGamerLegion remove Overpass
3. PickLegacy take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Legacy 47%GamerLegion 53%
The model gave 53% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Legacy 53%GamerLegion 47%
The model gave 53% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Infernoprediction correct6:13
Legacy 40%GamerLegion 60%
The model gave 60% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 55%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3