IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#18 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GamerLegion#14 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLegacy ban
50%57%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 3 maps
NukeGamerLegion pick
60%67%
Legacy · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 2 maps
AncientLegacy ban
50%67%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge GamerLegion +17%GamerLegion · 2 maps
InfernoLegacy pick
50%50%
Legacy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%GamerLegion · 2 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
60%50%
Legacy · 1 mapedge Legacy +10%GamerLegion · 0 maps
OverpassGamerLegion ban
50%40%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%GamerLegion · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Ancient
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. PickLegacy take Inferno
4. PickGamerLegion take Nuke
5. BanGamerLegion remove Overpass
6. BanLegacy remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Legacy 31%GamerLegion 69%
The model gave 69% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
Legacy 46%GamerLegion 54%
The model gave 54% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by Legacy.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
Legacy 50%GamerLegion 50%
The model gave 50% on Legacy — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 56%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3