IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Legacy#7 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GamerLegion#19 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLegacy pick
67%45%
Legacy · 2 mapsedge Legacy +22%GamerLegion · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%56%
Legacy · 2 mapsedge Legacy +11%GamerLegion · 5 maps
NukeGamerLegion pick
50%75%
Legacy · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +25%GamerLegion · 4 maps
AncientLegacy ban
33%57%
Legacy · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +24%GamerLegion · 3 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
71%50%
Legacy · 3 mapsedge Legacy +21%GamerLegion · 0 maps
OverpassLegacy ban
50%43%
Legacy · 0 mapsedge Legacy +7%GamerLegion · 3 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
60%50%
Legacy · 1 mapedge Legacy +10%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLegacy remove Overpass
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. PickLegacy take Mirage
4. PickGamerLegion take Nuke
5. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
6. BanLegacy remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (67% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Legacy 25%GamerLegion 75%
The model gave 75% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Legacy 73%GamerLegion 27%
The model gave 73% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
Legacy 62%GamerLegion 38%
The model gave 62% on Legacy — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 55%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3