BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemesis#49 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CYBERSHOKE#82 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct2:13
Nemesis 47%CYBERSHOKE 53%
The model gave 53% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Nemesis 53%CYBERSHOKE 47%
The model gave 53% on Nemesis — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 53%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2