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CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Players#225 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ALZON#254 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoPlayers ban
60%50%
Players · 1 mapedge Players +10%ALZON · 0 maps
MirageALZON ban
60%50%
Players · 1 mapedge Players +10%ALZON · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPlayers remove Inferno
2. BanALZON remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Players 47%ALZON 53%
The model gave 53% on ALZON — the map was taken by Players.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
Players 63%ALZON 37%
The model gave 63% on Players — the map was taken by ALZON.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Players 60%ALZON 40%
The model gave 60% on Players — the map was taken by ALZON.
Model check result
Model favoritePlayers · 62%
Series resultALZON 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3