CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPlayers pick
43%40%
Players · 3 mapsnearly even +3%ALZON · 1 map
InfernoALZON pick
67%67%
Players · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALZON · 2 maps
NukePlayers ban
33%50%
Players · 2 mapsedge ALZON +17%ALZON · 2 maps
MirageALZON ban
50%50%
Players · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALZON · 0 maps
DefaultPlayers ban
50%60%
Players · 0 mapsedge ALZON +10%ALZON · 1 map
Dust2ALZON ban
60%50%
Players · 1 mapedge Players +10%ALZON · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPlayers remove Nuke
2. BanALZON remove Dust2
3. PickPlayers take Ancient
4. PickALZON take Inferno
5. BanALZON remove Mirage
6. BanPlayers remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Players 31%ALZON 69%
The model gave 69% on ALZON — the map was taken by Players.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
Players 53%ALZON 47%
The model gave 53% on Players — the map was taken by ALZON.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Players 50%ALZON 50%
The model gave 50% on Players — the map was taken by ALZON.
Model check result
Model favoritePlayers · 53%
Series resultALZON 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3