Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
11Monkeyzwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
Rune Eaters
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 651 bans
Tiny
459 picks · 496 bans
Bane
442 picks · 270 bans
Sand King
427 picks · 570 bans
Dragon Knight
368 picks · 428 bans
Storm Spirit
364 picks · 618 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 546 bans
Death Prophet
344 picks · 813 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% 11Monkeyz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
11Monkeyz 48%Rune Eaters 52%
The model gave 52% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by 11Monkeyz.
Game 2prediction missed
11Monkeyz 48%Rune Eaters 52%
The model gave 52% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by 11Monkeyz.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 52%
Series result11Monkeyz 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2