The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Refuserwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
植植物驾到loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Refuser
Storm Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 4 games
Razor
zeal · 3 games
Tiny
Monet · 3 games
Warlock
Dy · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
zeal · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
poyoyo · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Paparazi · 2 games
Kezoften banned
poyoyo · 2 games
植物驾到
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
612 picks · 395 bans
Rubick
514 picks · 286 bans
Phoenix
479 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 385 bans
Pangolier
422 picks · 590 bans
Puck
341 picks · 964 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 283 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% 植物驾到
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Team Refuser
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:11
Team Refuser 72%植物驾到 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Refuser — the game was taken by Team Refuser in 27:27.
Game 2prediction correct34:8
Team Refuser 72%植物驾到 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Refuser — the game was taken by Team Refuser in 31:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Refuser · 72%
Series resultTeam Refuser 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2