DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 0:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1w Team
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 17 games
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 16 games
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 15 games
Lunasignature
Munkushi~ · 15 games
Magnussignature
Cloud · 15 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
RESPECT · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Cloud · 11 games
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
365 picks · 318 bans
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 312 bans
Centaur Warrunner
323 picks · 486 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 381 bans
Mars
254 picks · 332 bans
Hoodwink
253 picks · 142 bans
Techies
253 picks · 171 bans
Magnus
250 picks · 462 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength57% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
1w Team 33%Aurora Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
1w Team 33%Aurora Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 67%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2