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Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Balaclavasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fishman · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Munkushi~ · 19 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Munkushi~ · 16 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 15 games
60%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Munkushi~ · 15 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Cloud · 14 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Munkushi~ · 13 games
54%

Balaclavas

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 447 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 559 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
446 picks · 227 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
350 picks · 689 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 469 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
303 picks · 701 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
296 picks · 248 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
291 picks · 88 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Balaclavas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:8
1w Team 81%Balaclavas 19%
The model gave 81% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 30:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyMunkushi~
54% · 321 game42% · 193 games
MedusaFocus
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSquad1x
58% · 202 games41% · 158 games
KunkkaAdzantick
Kunkka
Bristleback
BristlebackSSS
61% · 202 games38% · 29 games
AxeSkyLark
Axe
Chen
Chenkasane
57% · 90 games45% · 176 games
Nature's ProphetSsaSpartan
Nature's Prophet
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanswedenstrong
59% · 106 games42% · 365 games
GyrocopterDelight
Gyrocopter
Game 2prediction correct34:11
1w Team 79%Balaclavas 21%
The model gave 79% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 30:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaMunkushi~
42% · 58 games44% · 157 games
SvenFocus
Sven
Dark Seer
Dark SeerSSS
48% · 175 games54% · 21 game
Death ProphetAdzantick
Death Prophet
Batrider
BatriderSquad1x
46% · 134 games52% · 140 games
Centaur WarrunnerSkyLark
Centaur Warrunner
Enchantress
Enchantresskasane
46% · 88 games53% · 54 games
OracleSsaSpartan
Oracle
Riki
Rikiswedenstrong
57% · 25 games60% · 108 games
Shadow ShamanDelight
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 93%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2