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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hydraloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 36 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 30 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 26 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 24 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
RESPECT · 24 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
swedenstrong · 24 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
RESPECT · 22 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
68%

Hydra

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Dominic · 2 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
jAMES · 2 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
0%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
jAMES · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Actor · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Ethereal · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ethereal · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
351 picks · 341 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
46%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
348 picks · 401 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 497 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 264 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
291 picks · 305 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 388 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 456 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 47%
Hero pool strength59% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:9
1w Team 75%Hydra 25%
The model gave 75% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 30:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMunkushi~
50% · 135 games54% · 171 game
Morphlingselfhate
Morphling
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCloud
47% · 128 games51% · 100 games
LeshracEthereal
Leshrac
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
39% · 73 games50% · 263 games
Centaur WarrunnerActor
Centaur Warrunner
Batrider
Batriderswedenstrong
48% · 312 games56% · 154 games
Dark Willowani-san
Dark Willow
Omniknight
OmniknightRESPECT
52% · 40 games
Game 2prediction correct24:10
1w Team 75%Hydra 25%
The model gave 75% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 31:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordMunkushi~
48% · 82 games46% · 146 games
Svenselfhate
Sven
Magnus
MagnusCloud
60% · 87 games48% · 59 games
Queen of PainEthereal
Queen of Pain
Tinker
Tinkerswedenstrong
23% · 9 games53% · 127 games
KunkkaActor
Kunkka
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
57% · 90 games46% · 105 games
Snapfireani-san
Snapfire
Batrider
BatriderRESPECT
47% · 169 games
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 89%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2