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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 1:3
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:3
HULIGANIwin 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 32 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 30 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 24 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
RESPECT · 24 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
swedenstrong · 24 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 23 games
70%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 23 games
57%
Batrider
Batridersignature
RESPECT · 21 game
71%

HULIGANI

Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 22 games
41%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 20 games
35%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 16 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 15 games
73%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
re1bl · 14 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
332 picks · 321 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
326 picks · 379 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 463 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
313 picks · 262 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
289 picks · 444 bans
47%
Enchantress
Enchantress
283 picks · 477 bans
50%
Sven
Sven
283 picks · 299 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 69%
Hero pool strength57% 1w Team
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total68% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:23
1w Team 58%HULIGANI 42%
The model gave 58% on 1w Team — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 47:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMunkushi~
47% · 224 games49% · 62 games
BroodmotherAlberkaaa
Broodmother
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinChira JUNIOR
43% · 150 games52% · 215 games
PuckMirage
Puck
Primal Beast
Primal BeastCloud
57% · 190 games52% · 71 game
Bristlebackv1olent-
Bristleback
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinswedenstrong
55% · 58 games49% · 147 games
MiranaOneJey
Mirana
Tusk
TuskRESPECT
50% · 159 games49% · 286 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Game 2prediction missed21:23
1w Team 60%HULIGANI 40%
The model gave 60% on 1w Team — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 38:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMunkushi~
57% · 136 games49% · 271 game
Morphlingv1olent-
Morphling
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCloud
50% · 198 games50% · 50 games
Sand KingMirage
Sand King
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
44% · 43 games44% · 138 games
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Beastmaster
Batrider
BatriderRESPECT
46% · 176 games50% · 128 games
SnapfireOneJey
Snapfire
Leshrac
Leshracswedenstrong
52% · 78 games60% · 44 games
OmniknightPanto
Omniknight
Game 3prediction correct36:24
1w Team 61%HULIGANI 39%
The model gave 61% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 44:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerMunkushi~
52% · 213 games49% · 140 games
Alchemistv1olent-
Alchemist
Tiny
TinyChira JUNIOR
51% · 271 game48% · 222 games
PuckMirage
Puck
Enigma
EnigmaCloud
55% · 121 game54% · 108 games
Sand KingAlberkaaa
Sand King
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinswedenstrong
47% · 64 games49% · 176 games
SnapfireOneJey
Snapfire
Enchantress
EnchantressRESPECT
43% · 222 games50% · 245 games
ClockwerkPanto
Clockwerk
Game 4prediction missed14:37
1w Team 59%HULIGANI 41%
The model gave 59% on 1w Team — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 49:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMunkushi~
50% · 191 game50% · 294 games
TimbersawAlberkaaa
Timbersaw
Kunkka
KunkkaCloud
48% · 179 games53% · 209 games
Storm SpiritMirage
Storm Spirit
Tiny
TinyChira JUNIOR
41% · 210 games52% · 77 games
Bristlebackv1olent-
Bristleback
Dark Willow
Dark Willowswedenstrong
50% · 168 games50% · 286 games
TuskOneJey
Tusk
Phoenix
PhoenixRESPECT
50% · 169 games57% · 51 game
OmniknightPanto
Omniknight
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 68%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4