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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 1:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 28 games
54%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 28 games
39%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Tusk
Tusksignature
swedenstrong · 25 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
мистер мораль · 21 game
62%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 20 games
40%

OG

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 15 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 15 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windranger
Natsumi · 15 games
53%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 13 games
46%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 12 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 12 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
622 picks · 440 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 312 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 390 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 582 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
378 picks · 415 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 499 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
343 picks · 635 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% 1w Team
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total67% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:12
1w Team 61%OG 39%
The model gave 61% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 40:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerPure~
51% · 69 games50% · 384 games
TinyNatsumi
Tiny
Lina
Linabzm
43% · 22 games62% · 132 games
UndyingRaven
Undying
Axe
Axe33
51% · 155 games40% · 38 games
ZeusYopaj
Zeus
Windranger
WindrangerAri
49% · 196 games45% · 125 games
TechiesTims
Techies
Tusk
TuskWhitemon
52% · 276 games47% · 39 games
MiranaSkem
Mirana
Game 2prediction missed18:47
1w Team 57%OG 43%
The model gave 57% on 1w Team — the game was taken by OG in 50:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Snapfire
Snapfirebzm
46% · 286 games52% · 69 games
Drow RangerNatsumi
Drow Ranger
Spectre
SpectrePure~
52% · 17 games54% · 136 games
LeshracYopaj
Leshrac
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
48% · 75 games55% · 131 game
DoomRaven
Doom
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightAri
47% · 121 game46% · 171 game
RubickTims
Rubick
Ringmaster
RingmasterWhitemon
51% · 207 games52% · 199 games
BaneSkem
Bane
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 67%
Accuracy by game1 of 2