CCT Season 2 Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 0:1series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OxinGamewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1w Team
Pucksignature
Squad1x · 28 games
Warlocksignature
kasane · 23 games
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 22 games
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 21 game
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 19 games
Pugnasignature
kasane · 16 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 16 games
Dawnbreakersignature
SSS · 15 games
OxinGame
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
502 picks · 262 bans
Disruptor
472 picks · 474 bans
Puck
360 picks · 977 bans
Pugna
327 picks · 373 bans
Warlock
299 picks · 146 bans
Earthshaker
297 picks · 490 bans
Mars
295 picks · 507 bans
Batrider
290 picks · 618 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength60% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
1w Team 89%OxinGame 11%
The model gave 89% on 1w Team — the game was taken by OxinGame.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 89%
Series resultOxinGame 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1