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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 1:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Lynxloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 31 game
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 30 games
70%
Warlock
Warlock
Rein · 29 games
48%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 28 games
39%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 28 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 25 games
56%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Rein · 24 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
55%

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 21 game
62%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 20 games
65%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 20 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
70%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 16 games
69%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 16 games
63%
Ursa
Ursasignature
7jesu · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 65%
Hero pool strength54% Team Lynx
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
1w Team 62%Team Lynx 38%
The model gave 62% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 62%
Series result1w Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1