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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:1
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Yandexloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 32 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 21 game
52%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 19 games
42%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 18 games
44%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Whitemon · 16 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 15 games
60%

Team Yandex

Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
82%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 21 game
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 19 games
58%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 17 games
65%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 16 games
44%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
512 picks · 361 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
360 picks · 432 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
347 picks · 614 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 486 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
318 picks · 614 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
308 picks · 349 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
303 picks · 165 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 218 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 69%
Hero pool strength58% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total66% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:16
1w Team 43%Team Yandex 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by 1w Team in 39:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
Linabzm
49% · 62 games40% · 81 game
Drow RangerWatson
Drow Ranger
Kez
KezPure~
49% · 260 games54% · 192 games
Centaur WarrunnerChira JUNIOR
Centaur Warrunner
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit33
56% · 171 game48% · 76 games
NecrophosDM
Necrophos
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernWhitemon
52% · 135 games47% · 318 games
HoodwinkSaksa
Hoodwink
Lion
LionAri
57% · 203 games46% · 164 games
ClockwerkMalady
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct11:21
1w Team 40%Team Yandex 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 35:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
46% · 179 games53% · 164 games
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Brewmaster
Brewmaster33
50% · 101 game52% · 198 games
DoomDM
Doom
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritbzm
42% · 77 games55% · 181 game
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
51% · 509 games56% · 152 games
Nature's ProphetSaksa
Nature's Prophet
Ringmaster
RingmasterWhitemon
47% · 270 games48% · 441 game
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Game 3prediction missed39:29
1w Team 41%Team Yandex 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by 1w Team in 54:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IoPure~
40% · 66 games42% · 318 games
TinyWatson
Tiny
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritbzm
46% · 398 games46% · 265 games
SnapfireChira JUNIOR
Snapfire
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit33
49% · 123 games57% · 151 game
DoomDM
Doom
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightAri
57% · 188 games56% · 101 game
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Bane
BaneWhitemon
54% · 259 games51% · 199 games
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 66%
Series result1w Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3