The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
20Twicewin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Paseka Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
20Twice
No games played over 6 months.
Paseka Team
Ringmaster
Chuvash · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Egor · 3 games
Enigmaoften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
Chuvash · 3 games
Sniperoften banned
Egor · 3 games
Tinyoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Chuvash · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
DkFogas · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 638 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 649 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 20%
Hero pool strength63% 20Twice
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Paseka Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
20Twice 46%Paseka Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Paseka Team — the game was taken by 20Twice.
Game 2prediction missed
20Twice 46%Paseka Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Paseka Team — the game was taken by 20Twice.
Model check result
Model favoritePaseka Team · 54%
Series result20Twice 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2