Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Plan Bloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zyd · 4 games
Snapfire
Ayo · 4 games
Tusk
strawberry · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shining · 2 games
Mirana
Ayo · 2 games
Clockwerk
strawberry · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
Zyd · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
Shining · 1 game
Plan B
Juggernautoften banned
BurNIng · 1 game
Linaoften banned
BurNIng · 1 game
Nature's Prophet
BurNIng · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
352 picks · 250 bans
Marci
316 picks · 556 bans
Undying
284 picks · 466 bans
Tusk
275 picks · 188 bans
Pangolier
248 picks · 426 bans
Primal Beast
237 picks · 505 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 292 bans
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 105 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct57:23
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 54%Plan B 46%
The model gave 54% on 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 — the game was taken by 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperZyd
MorphlingBurNIng
BeastmasterShining
MiranaAyo
Tuskstrawberry
Game 2prediction correct36:18
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 54%Plan B 46%
The model gave 54% on 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 — the game was taken by 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 in 23:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaZyd
PudgeBurNIng
BeastmasterShining
SnapfireAyo
Nyx Assassinstrawberry
Model check result
Model favorite你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 · 55%
Series result你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2