Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MayBeloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MayBe
No games played over 6 months.
你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Zyd · 3 games
Tusk
strawberry · 3 games
Mirana
Ayo · 2 games
Snapfire
Ayo · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Shining · 1 game
Clockwerk
strawberry · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
Shining · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Zyd · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
350 picks · 246 bans
Marci
317 picks · 554 bans
Undying
284 picks · 465 bans
Tusk
271 picks · 182 bans
Pangolier
249 picks · 423 bans
Primal Beast
236 picks · 502 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 289 bans
Crystal Maiden
207 picks · 103 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team MayBe
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:27
Team MayBe 50%你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 50%
The model gave 50% on 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 — the game was taken by 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 in 19:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death ProphetPuer tea
DawnbreakerZyd
Undying谢乐zzz张泽中
BeastmasterShining
46% · 159 games
SnapfireAyo
48% · 80 games
Tuskstrawberry
Game 2prediction missed17:48
Team MayBe 50%你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 50%
The model gave 50% on Team MayBe — the game was taken by 你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 in 31:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterPuer tea
Death ProphetZyd
Lich谢乐zzz张泽中
MarsShining
52% · 80 games
SnapfireAyo
29% · 3 games
Rikistrawberry
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam MayBe · 53%
Series result你这肥宅说话还挺搞笑的 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2