BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
3xOloss 0:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Timebombwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
3xO
No games played over 6 months.
Timebomb
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
249 picks · 421 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
213 picks · 328 bans
Tusk
198 picks · 184 bans
Dark Willow
196 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
194 picks · 267 bans
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% 3xO
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% 3xO
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
3xO 56%Timebomb 44%
The model gave 56% on 3xO — the game was taken by Timebomb.
Model check result
Model favorite3xO · 56%
Series resultTimebomb 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1