The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction4A4 Anchors and Ilmerialoss 0:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Anchors and Ilmeria
Drow Rangeroften banned
dnm · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
dnm · 1 game
GG Boom
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 432 bans
Rubick
550 picks · 308 bans
Phoenix
494 picks · 591 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 404 bans
Pangolier
435 picks · 641 bans
Puck
357 picks · 1028 bans
Tusk
347 picks · 306 bans
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 543 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% 4 Anchors and Ilmeria
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% 4 Anchors and Ilmeria
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
4 Anchors and Ilmeria 56%GG Boom 44%
The model gave 56% on 4 Anchors and Ilmeria — the game was taken by GG Boom.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Anchors and Ilmeria · 56%
Series resultGG Boom 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1