The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Anchors + Dota Samawin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Anchors + Dota Sama
No games played over 6 months.
9z Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 216 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 632 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 440 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 643 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 212 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 79 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Anchors + Dota Sama
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% 4 Anchors + Dota Sama
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:61
4 Anchors + Dota Sama 61%9z Team 39%
The model gave 61% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by 4 Anchors + Dota Sama in 55:03.
Game 2prediction correct26:42
4 Anchors + Dota Sama 61%9z Team 39%
The model gave 61% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by 4 Anchors + Dota Sama in 43:10.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Anchors + Dota Sama · 61%
Series result4 Anchors + Dota Sama 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2