The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TSTeam Slayersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Anchors + Dota Sama
No games played over 6 months.
Team Slayers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
521 picks · 603 bans
Ringmaster
471 picks · 237 bans
Jakiro
458 picks · 433 bans
Terrorblade
371 picks · 775 bans
Storm Spirit
351 picks · 513 bans
Ancient Apparition
343 picks · 791 bans
Tusk
333 picks · 297 bans
Shadow Shaman
320 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Anchors + Dota Sama
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% 4 Anchors + Dota Sama
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:24
4 Anchors + Dota Sama 64%Team Slayers 36%
The model gave 64% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by 4 Anchors + Dota Sama in 41:05.
Game 2prediction missed45:43
4 Anchors + Dota Sama 64%Team Slayers 36%
The model gave 64% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by Team Slayers in 46:50.
Game 3prediction correct36:23
4 Anchors + Dota Sama 64%Team Slayers 36%
The model gave 64% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by 4 Anchors + Dota Sama in 32:47.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Anchors + Dota Sama · 64%
Series result4 Anchors + Dota Sama 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3