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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:1
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Eternityloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4 Zoomers

No games played over 6 months.

Eternity

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Jubei · 4 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Jubei · 4 games
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jubei · 4 games
75%
Lion
Lion
Boris · 4 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
YamSun · 4 games
25%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
FrancisLee · 4 games
25%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Jubei · 3 games
33%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
YamSun · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
281 picks · 426 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
268 picks · 399 bans
44%
Monkey King
Monkey King
260 picks · 662 bans
60%
Bane
Bane
247 picks · 187 bans
58%
Weaver
Weaver
233 picks · 465 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
214 picks · 114 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
212 picks · 257 bans
46%
Lina
Lina
211 picks · 481 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 18%
Hero pool strength52% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total84% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:31
4 Zoomers 84%Eternity 16%
The model gave 84% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Eternity in 52:06.
Game 2prediction correct47:8
4 Zoomers 84%Eternity 16%
The model gave 84% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 41:04.
Game 3prediction correct40:14
4 Zoomers 84%Eternity 16%
The model gave 84% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 37:23.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 84%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3