BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hokoriloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
386 picks · 1000 bans
Lion
384 picks · 213 bans
Mars
373 picks · 627 bans
Grimstroke
361 picks · 362 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 184 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
290 picks · 201 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 613 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:17
4 Zoomers 70%Hokori 30%
The model gave 70% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 37:45.
Game 2prediction correct50:23
4 Zoomers 70%Hokori 30%
The model gave 70% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 34:30.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 70%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2