BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Infamousloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
Michael · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
267 picks · 149 bans
Mars
265 picks · 350 bans
Tidehunter
252 picks · 387 bans
Lina
251 picks · 512 bans
Pangolier
228 picks · 327 bans
Monkey King
226 picks · 490 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 294 bans
Void Spirit
216 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total54% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:8
4 Zoomers 54%Infamous 46%
The model gave 54% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 35:03.
Game 2prediction missed30:33
4 Zoomers 54%Infamous 46%
The model gave 54% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Infamous in 1:00:41.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2