BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infamousloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
468 picks · 568 bans
Mars
423 picks · 606 bans
Weaver
421 picks · 695 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 536 bans
Spirit Breaker
340 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
316 picks · 157 bans
Wraith King
276 picks · 364 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength60% Infamous
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total50% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:28
4 Zoomers 50%Infamous 50%
The model gave 50% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Infamous in 54:42.
Game 2prediction correct38:18
4 Zoomers 50%Infamous 50%
The model gave 50% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 38:30.
Game 3prediction correct42:19
4 Zoomers 50%Infamous 50%
The model gave 50% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 42:32.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 50%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3