Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Rubick
Kiri · 15 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
Clockwerk
Prada · 8 games
Doomoften banned
Frank · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
Snapfire
Kiri · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 7 games
Tiny
Kiri · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
442 picks · 210 bans
Techies
352 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 540 bans
Batrider
324 picks · 559 bans
Morphling
303 picks · 609 bans
Undying
294 picks · 491 bans
Timbersaw
287 picks · 686 bans
Storm Spirit
264 picks · 532 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:37
4 Zoomers 61%Infinity Esports 39%
The model gave 61% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 45:36.
Game 2prediction correct30:4
4 Zoomers 61%Infinity Esports 39%
The model gave 61% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 18:09.
Game 3prediction missed12:48
4 Zoomers 61%Infinity Esports 39%
The model gave 61% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 31:33.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 61%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3