BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Team DogChamp
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 7 games
Hoodwinksignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
Wraith Kingsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Jakiro
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Lich
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
478 picks · 570 bans
Mars
446 picks · 599 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 779 bans
Snapfire
363 picks · 174 bans
Kunkka
343 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
Wraith King
286 picks · 347 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength56% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:11
4 Zoomers 67%Team DogChamp 33%
The model gave 67% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 32:17.
Game 2prediction correct37:3
4 Zoomers 67%Team DogChamp 33%
The model gave 67% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 21:05.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 67%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2