Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Undyingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
369 picks · 545 bans
Bane
336 picks · 259 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 205 bans
Weaver
316 picks · 713 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 758 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 382 bans
Disruptor
236 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
235 picks · 331 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head3 – 7
Model total71% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:38
4 Zoomers 29%Team Undying 71%
The model gave 71% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Team Undying in 52:31.
Game 2prediction correct29:32
4 Zoomers 29%Team Undying 71%
The model gave 71% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Team Undying in 50:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 71%
Series resultTeam Undying 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2