BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 1:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The Cutloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 6 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 1 game
Axe
TingleK1ng · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
Lil_Nick · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
355 picks · 742 bans
Void Spirit
331 picks · 436 bans
Mars
284 picks · 503 bans
Earth Spirit
259 picks · 219 bans
Death Prophet
242 picks · 379 bans
Rubick
236 picks · 137 bans
Keeper of the Light
222 picks · 467 bans
Wraith King
218 picks · 314 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 62%
Hero pool strength57% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:47
4 Zoomers 45%The Cut 55%
The model gave 55% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut in 48:35.
Game 2prediction missed35:19
4 Zoomers 45%The Cut 55%
The model gave 55% on The Cut — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 39:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2