DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction4Z4 Zoomersloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
55BUGPIGPOLEwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
5BUGPIGPOLE
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
548 picks · 778 bans
Muerta
446 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
438 picks · 711 bans
Clockwerk
413 picks · 405 bans
Phantom Assassin
408 picks · 719 bans
Bristleback
396 picks · 897 bans
Magnus
393 picks · 1055 bans
Pangolier
382 picks · 526 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% 5BUGPIGPOLE
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
4 Zoomers 46%5BUGPIGPOLE 54%
The model gave 54% on 5BUGPIGPOLE — the game was taken by 5BUGPIGPOLE.
Game 2prediction correct
4 Zoomers 46%5BUGPIGPOLE 54%
The model gave 54% on 5BUGPIGPOLE — the game was taken by 5BUGPIGPOLE.
Model check result
Model favorite5BUGPIGPOLE · 54%
Series result5BUGPIGPOLE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2