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DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 0:2
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4 Zoomers

No games played over 6 months.

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 24 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 15 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 11 games
64%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
YamSun · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Bignum · 10 games
60%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 10 games
80%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
537 picks · 748 bans
48%
Muerta
Muerta
438 picks · 321 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
433 picks · 708 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
412 picks · 404 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
391 picks · 882 bans
57%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
388 picks · 690 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
386 picks · 1031 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 511 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 51%
Hero pool strength54% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:32
4 Zoomers 22%Wildcard Gaming 78%
The model gave 78% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 30:18.
Game 2prediction correct3:10
4 Zoomers 22%Wildcard Gaming 78%
The model gave 78% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 6:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 78%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2