The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
4ikibamboniwin 1:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TLTeam Lipstickloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4ikibamboni
Tusk
waveformn · 3 games
Bane
ani-san · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ethereal · 1 game
Largooften banned
Ankou · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
yowaai · 1 game
Nature's Prophet
yowaai · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Ankou · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 1 game
Team Lipstick
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
605 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
508 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
418 picks · 585 bans
Puck
342 picks · 946 bans
Tusk
337 picks · 277 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% 4ikibamboni
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% 4ikibamboni
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
4ikibamboni 79%Team Lipstick 21%
The model gave 79% on 4ikibamboni — the game was taken by 4ikibamboni.
Model check result
Model favorite4ikibamboni · 79%
Series result4ikibamboni 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1