BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5ManMidasloss 0:2series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wolf Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
615 picks · 467 bans
Marci
460 picks · 673 bans
Dawnbreaker
383 picks · 538 bans
Puck
374 picks · 832 bans
Winter Wyvern
320 picks · 402 bans
Death Prophet
299 picks · 485 bans
Zeus
268 picks · 349 bans
Dazzle
260 picks · 163 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 39%
Hero pool strength50% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:43
5ManMidas 23%Wolf Team 77%
The model gave 77% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 18:30.
Game 2prediction correct71:24
5ManMidas 23%Wolf Team 77%
The model gave 77% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team in 28:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 77%
Series resultWolf Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2