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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 24 games
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 12 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
43%
Tiny
Tiny
Giant · 7 games
14%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
albinozebra · 6 games
33%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
albinozebra · 6 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Speeed · 6 games
100%

Team DogChamp

Bane
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 13 games
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
yarintheslayer · 12 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 10 games
60%
Marci
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 10 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 9 games
44%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
RCY · 8 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
yarintheslayer · 8 games
63%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
370 picks · 582 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
338 picks · 234 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
331 picks · 570 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
246 picks · 331 bans
54%
Enigma
Enigma
241 picks · 755 bans
57%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
238 picks · 452 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
214 picks · 103 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
213 picks · 324 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:57
5RATFORCESTAFF 52%Team DogChamp 48%
The model gave 52% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 45:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
Slarkdnm
62% · 36 games48% · 74 games
BloodseekerITALIANO GANGSTA
Bloodseeker
Slardar
SlardarSpeeed
53% · 41 game44% · 100 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Tiny
TinyMoOz
55% · 343 games30% · 70 games
TidehunterLil_Nick
Tidehunter
Undying
Undyingalbinozebra
57% · 115 games55% · 129 games
Miranayarintheslayer
Mirana
42% · 162 games
ClockwerkBloody Nine
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed44:37
5RATFORCESTAFF 52%Team DogChamp 48%
The model gave 52% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 57:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirendnm
66% · 32 games44% · 153 games
KunkkaITALIANO GANGSTA
Kunkka
Enigma
EnigmaSpeeed
56% · 118 gameslittle data
TinkerRCY
Tinker
Tiny
TinyMoOz
49% · 289 games47% · 119 games
VisageLil_Nick
Visage
Silencer
Silenceralbinozebra
51% · 47 games57% · 21 game
Techiesyarintheslayer
Techies
42% · 193 games
ClockwerkBloody Nine
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 54%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2