?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 31 game
61%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 27 games
59%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 26 games
69%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 22 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 20 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 18 games
50%

LGD Gaming

Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 17 games
35%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
NothingToSay · 16 games
69%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
y` · 15 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 15 games
60%
Techies
Techiessignature
pLAnet · 15 games
80%
Undying
Undyingsignature
y` · 15 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
niu · 13 games
38%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
272 picks · 411 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
231 picks · 110 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
226 picks · 322 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
218 picks · 453 bans
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
214 picks · 312 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
197 picks · 510 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
194 picks · 162 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
190 picks · 404 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% 9Pandas
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total65% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:32
9Pandas 42%LGD Gaming 58%
The model gave 58% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 42:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaV-Tune
44% · 106 games51% · 65 games
Lunashiro
Luna
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
46% · 99 games51% · 31 game
DazzleEmo
Dazzle
Tidehunter
TidehunterRAMZES666
45% · 116 games51% · 103 games
Spirit BreakerPyw
Spirit Breaker
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanAfoninje
52% · 9 games56% · 219 games
Pangolierniu
Pangolier
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSolo
56% · 159 games49% · 71 game
Ancient Apparitiony`
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct13:38
9Pandas 44%LGD Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 26:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
SpectreV-Tune
49% · 53 games48% · 29 games
Razorshiro
Razor
Slardar
SlardarRAMZES666
63% · 22 games43% · 62 games
Brewmasterniu
Brewmaster
Kunkka
Kunkkakiyotaka
52% · 85 games51% · 37 games
DazzleEmo
Dazzle
Weaver
WeaverAfoninje
63% · 50 games41% · 13 games
Lichy`
Lich
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSolo
50% · 66 games46% · 135 games
TuskPyw
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 65%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2