DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Moodeng Warriorswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Tinyoften banned
erase · 29 games
Clockwerkoften banned
lupsione · 27 games
Elder Titan
Solo · 24 games
Lion
lupsione · 22 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 21 game
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 18 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 17 games
Phoenixoften banned
Solo · 17 games
Moodeng Warriors
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 7 games
Batrideroften banned
Oli · 6 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Jabz · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
423 · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Abed · 5 games
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Jabz · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 4 games
Linaoften banned
Abed · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
519 picks · 796 bans
Tiny
513 picks · 622 bans
Clockwerk
495 picks · 504 bans
Batrider
469 picks · 568 bans
Muerta
434 picks · 369 bans
Magnus
431 picks · 1009 bans
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 779 bans
Bristleback
393 picks · 899 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength53% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Moodeng Warriors
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:32
9Pandas 44%Moodeng Warriors 56%
The model gave 56% on Moodeng Warriors — the game was taken by Moodeng Warriors in 32:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistV-Tune
Naga Siren423
Primal Beastlaise
TimbersawJT-
Monkey KingSerenada
MagnusAbed
Batriderlupsione
Bounty HunterJabz
Elder TitanSolo
ZeusOli
Game 2prediction correct26:29
9Pandas 43%Moodeng Warriors 57%
The model gave 57% on Moodeng Warriors — the game was taken by Moodeng Warriors in 43:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterV-Tune
Phantom Assassin423
Dawnbreakerlaise
TimbersawJT-
TinySerenada
MagnusAbed
Muertalupsione
RikiJabz
WarlockSolo
LichOli
Model check result
Model favoriteMoodeng Warriors · 62%
Series resultMoodeng Warriors 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2