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CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 19 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 18 games
72%
Lion
Lionsignature
lupsione · 16 games
69%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 16 games
75%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 13 games
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jesv · 12 games
42%
Muerta
Muerta
jesv · 12 games
42%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 12 games
58%

MOUZ

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
NARMAN · 28 games
54%
Tusk
Tusk
bengan · 28 games
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 25 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Ulnit · 23 games
65%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Ulnit · 21 game
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
bengan · 21 game
57%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Thiolicor · 21 game
62%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Supream^ · 20 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
495 picks · 427 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
457 picks · 539 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
450 picks · 562 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
447 picks · 569 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
436 picks · 233 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 787 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
398 picks · 439 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
389 picks · 590 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:36
9Pandas 57%MOUZ 43%
The model gave 57% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by MOUZ in 36:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
36% · 78 games51% · 392 games
GyrocopterLowskill
Gyrocopter
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerlaise
48% · 183 games44% · 215 games
Storm SpiritSupream^
Storm Spirit
Tiny
Tinyerase
46% · 461 game56% · 145 games
EnigmaForce
Enigma
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonlupsione
56% · 382 games54% · 308 games
ClockwerkFly
Clockwerk
Undying
UndyingSolo
53% · 52 games55% · 96 games
Earthshakerxsvampire
Earthshaker
Game 2prediction missed11:27
9Pandas 55%MOUZ 45%
The model gave 55% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by MOUZ in 30:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeV-Tune
45% · 194 games50% · 395 games
MorphlingLowskill
Morphling
Sniper
Snipererase
49% · 117 games52% · 494 games
TinySupream^
Tiny
Beastmaster
Beastmasterlaise
50% · 292 games59% · 89 games
LycanForce
Lycan
Batrider
Batriderlupsione
49% · 420 games52% · 374 games
PhoenixFly
Phoenix
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSolo
53% · 365 games34% · 36 games
Abaddonxsvampire
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 62%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2