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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Mars
Marsoften banned
Alberkaaa · 13 games
46%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Solo · 12 games
42%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 11 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
RAMZES666 · 10 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
RAMZES666 · 9 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 9 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Antares · 8 games
38%

Nemiga Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
46%
Pugna
Pugna
queezy · 11 games
55%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
78%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
forcemajor · 8 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 8 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 7 games
29%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Xibbe · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
377 picks · 352 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
362 picks · 586 bans
57%
Techies
Techies
351 picks · 274 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 541 bans
55%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
345 picks · 336 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
329 picks · 677 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
320 picks · 192 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
310 picks · 324 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:41
9Pandas 63%Nemiga Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 32:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenDarkLord^
50% · 171 game56% · 134 games
Gyrocopterv1olent-
Gyrocopter
Timbersaw
TimbersawAlberkaaa
52% · 256 games47% · 82 games
Zeusnicky`cool
Zeus
Pangolier
Pangolierkiyotaka
56% · 322 games47% · 219 games
Centaur WarrunnerMikSa`
Centaur Warrunner
Lion
LionAntares
48% · 226 games47% · 546 games
Rubickqueezy
Rubick
Undying
UndyingSolo
49% · 208 games48% · 202 games
Crystal Maidenaik
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed41:40
9Pandas 61%Nemiga Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:02:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterDarkLord^
51% · 135 games41% · 188 games
Morphlingv1olent-
Morphling
Kunkka
KunkkaAlberkaaa
54% · 173 games56% · 151 game
Pucknicky`cool
Puck
Riki
Rikikiyotaka
50% · 54 games48% · 146 games
MarsMikSa`
Mars
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonAntares
46% · 277 games51% · 275 games
Rubickqueezy
Rubick
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSolo
46% · 252 games57% · 131 game
Pugnaaik
Pugna
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 72%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2