BetBoom Dacha · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 38 games
Rubick
Antares · 35 games
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 34 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 29 games
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 27 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 26 games
Nigma Galaxy
Disruptor
GH · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 18 games
Enchantresssignature
KuroKy · 17 games
Timbersawoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 15 games
Iooften banned
GH · 10 games
Snapfire
MinD_ContRoL · 10 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Yuma · 9 games
Dark Seeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
434 picks · 208 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 509 bans
Techies
326 picks · 332 bans
Batrider
301 picks · 510 bans
Morphling
293 picks · 566 bans
Undying
293 picks · 476 bans
Timbersaw
274 picks · 647 bans
Storm Spirit
259 picks · 485 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:42
9Pandas 67%Nigma Galaxy 33%
The model gave 67% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 56:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistRAMZES666
Anti-MageYuma
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
EarthshakerMinD_ContRoL
BrewmasterMieRo
ChenKuroKy
TechiesAntares
Skywrath MageGH
PugnaSolo
Game 2prediction correct50:33
9Pandas 68%Nigma Galaxy 32%
The model gave 68% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 47:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Earthshakerkiyotaka
SvenYuma
GyrocopterRAMZES666
Legion CommanderMinD_ContRoL
Primal BeastMieRo
Vengeful SpiritGH
Skywrath MageAntares
Ancient ApparitionKuroKy
Elder TitanSolo
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 79%
Series result9Pandas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2