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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Falconsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 31 game
61%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 27 games
59%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 25 games
72%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 22 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 20 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 19 games
53%

Team Falcons

Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 12 games
92%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 11 games
100%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 10 games
80%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 9 games
89%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 8 games
88%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 7 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Sneyking · 7 games
57%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
273 picks · 401 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
230 picks · 110 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 321 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
216 picks · 452 bans
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
212 picks · 308 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
196 picks · 506 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
192 picks · 158 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 397 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 81%
Hero pool strength63% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:28
9Pandas 37%Team Falcons 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 55:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingRAMZES666
60% · 59 games41% · 52 games
LunaSkiter
Luna
Spectre
SpectreV-Tune
53% · 84 games50% · 65 games
TimbersawATF
Timbersaw
Zeus
Zeuskiyotaka
42% · 66 games46% · 60 games
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
Dragon Knight
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanAfoninje
50% · 6 games46% · 103 games
Shadow DemonCr1t-
Shadow Demon
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSolo
60% · 249 games48% · 184 games
ClockwerkSneyking
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct12:25
9Pandas 40%Team Falcons 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 28:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistRAMZES666
61% · 83 games51% · 103 games
Naga SirenSkiter
Naga Siren
Zeus
Zeuskiyotaka
40% · 62 games44% · 76 games
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
Dragon Knight
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinV-Tune
52% · 122 games42% · 25 games
ViperATF
Viper
Bane
BaneAfoninje
50% · 24 games50% · 157 games
EnchantressSneyking
Enchantress
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSolo
59% · 179 games45% · 109 games
Centaur WarrunnerCr1t-
Centaur Warrunner
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 73%
Accuracy by game1 of 2