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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 1:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team NextUploss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Mars
Marsoften banned
Alberkaaa · 13 games
46%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Solo · 13 games
38%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 11 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
RAMZES666 · 10 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 9 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Antares · 9 games
22%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
RAMZES666 · 8 games
63%

Team NextUp

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 9 games
33%
Batrider
Batridersignature
VaniLLl · 7 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Petushara · 5 games
40%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Miyaoo · 5 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
jesv · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 577 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 534 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
346 picks · 273 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 335 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
329 picks · 671 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
319 picks · 191 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
309 picks · 316 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
9Pandas 86%Team NextUp 14%
The model gave 86% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 86%
Series result9Pandas 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1