ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9z Teamwin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TT Gameloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9z Team
Hoodwink
N1NE · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Robo-Z · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
drakesh1t · 2 games
Underlord
drakesh1t · 2 games
Dark Willow
N1NE · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Kunkka
Robo-Z · 1 game
Marsoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
TT Game
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
528 picks · 768 bans
Tusk
490 picks · 344 bans
Dragon Knight
456 picks · 636 bans
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 552 bans
Shadow Demon
376 picks · 679 bans
Gyrocopter
352 picks · 566 bans
Mars
341 picks · 454 bans
Slardar
320 picks · 887 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% TT Game
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% TT Game
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:19
9z Team 46%TT Game 54%
The model gave 54% on TT Game — the game was taken by 9z Team in 34:50.
Game 2prediction missed26:8
9z Team 46%TT Game 54%
The model gave 54% on TT Game — the game was taken by 9z Team in 18:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteTT Game · 54%
Series result9z Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2