Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9z Teamloss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yoru Ryodanwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9z Team
Doomoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Underlord
drakesh1t · 1 game
Yoru Ryodan
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
499 picks · 575 bans
Jakiro
489 picks · 443 bans
Ringmaster
455 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
359 picks · 716 bans
Ancient Apparition
323 picks · 736 bans
Storm Spirit
322 picks · 505 bans
Tusk
305 picks · 265 bans
Windranger
300 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 70%
Hero pool strength54% 9z Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Yoru Ryodan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:29
9z Team 40%Yoru Ryodan 60%
The model gave 60% on Yoru Ryodan — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 32:44.
Game 2prediction correct11:25
9z Team 40%Yoru Ryodan 60%
The model gave 60% on Yoru Ryodan — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 22:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteYoru Ryodan · 60%
Series resultYoru Ryodan 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2