Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
AcatSukiwin 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Qhaliloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AcatSuki
No games played over 6 months.
Qhali
Earth Spirit
DaaD- · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Grimstrokeoften banned
Jupiter · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
ShakaLord · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 1 game
Windrangeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 342 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 319 bans
Centaur Warrunner
326 picks · 476 bans
Mars
298 picks · 406 bans
Techies
283 picks · 198 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 155 bans
Pangolier
272 picks · 407 bans
Batrider
269 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% AcatSuki
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Qhali
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:48
AcatSuki 49%Qhali 51%
The model gave 51% on Qhali — the game was taken by AcatSuki in 59:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteQhali · 51%
Series resultAcatSuki 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1